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Political SciencePremium
Can Knowing the Pattern Stop the War?
We have 60 years of conflict prediction data and monitor 300 variables in real-time. Wars happen on schedule anyway. The failure isn't information—it's political will.
Political SciencePremium
The Algorithm That Sits in the Pentagon's War Room
US military AI targets enemies in combat zones, but the false positive rate is classified. When algorithms kill, who answers for mistakes?
Political Science
A Model Built in 1964 Predicted 85% of Wars Since
A political scientist's 1964 mathematical model has predicted conflicts more accurately than US intelligence. Why did institutions resist its implications?
Political Science
The 12 Variables That Predict Whether a Country Will Go to War Next Year
In 2021, data flagged 9 of 12 war precursor variables for Russia. Nobody looked. Inside the Cold War-born algorithm that still outpredicts intelligence agencies.
Political SciencePremium
The Black Banners
A former FBI agent's explosive exposé reveals how enhanced interrogation failed America—and what it means for intelligence ethics in the age of AI.
Political SciencePremium
Why Democracies Start More Wars Than You Think
Democratic Peace Theory says democracies don't fight each other—but the data reveals they wage war against non-democracies at the same rate as autocracies.
Political Science
The Country Most Likely to Start a War in the Next 5 Years — According to the Model
Discover the disturbing war probability rankings generated by merging GDELT, Polity5, and IMF datasets. The top countries might completely shock you.